Frontiers of Biogeography

Quaternary geographic range dynamics of savannah tree species are still not fully understood. The forest refuge hypothesis postulates that climatic and vegetational upheavals during the Pleistocene fragmented the previously continuous ranges of many species into isolated refuges that would have acted as shelters for rainforest taxa and allowed their survival through the Pleistocene cold stages. This hypothesis has recently been applied to studies of taxa in the African savannahs. We here test this hypothesis using the savannah tree species Senegalia senegal (L.) Britton., which is widely distributed across sub-Saharan Africa. Specifically, we ask the following questions: (i) Do we find evidence for savannah refugia during the last 130,000 before-present in sub-Saharan Africa? (ii) Would the climate in West Africa already have been suitable for S. senegal prior to the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM)? Using 1,132 occurrence records,we modeled the geographic distribution of S. senegal and projected the model into the past using climatic conditions from four time slices spanning the last 130,000 years bp. Our analyses show that the projected geographic extent of S. senegal was broader during the Last Interglacial, with a dramatic decline during the LGM and the subsequent recovery through the mid-Holocene to the present day. Our results indicate a range expansion at least from the mid-Holocene to the present and further show that S. senegal had similarly continuous distribution during the LGM as found today in sub-Saharan Africa. We also assessed the regional variation of environmental niche occupancy using a principal components analysis (PCA). The PCA reveals variation in the occupancy of environmental space across sub-Saharan Africa, a key indication of a wide ecological amplitude exhibited by the species. This study provides insights into the ancestral distribution and the temporal dynamics of a key savannah species that have shaped its current areas of occupancy.