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Physical/Statistical and Modeling Documentation of the Effects of Urban and Industrial Air Pollution in California on Precipitation and Stream Flows in Mountainous Terrain Downwind
Abstract
This research achieved insights into the documented impacts of urban and industrial air
pollution on orographic clouds and precipitation (and the resulting stream flows) over the
California Sierra Nevada, downwind of the pollution sources. The pollution aerosols are
submicron cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) that are incorporated into the orographic clouds,
thereby slowing the coalescence of raindrops and riming on ice precipitation and delaying the
conversion of cloud water into precipitation. The net rain‐volume losses in the polluted central
and southern California Sierra Nevada are estimated at 4 x 109 cubic meters (m3) of water per
year.
This project’s accomplishments are threefold. First, it demonstrated through hydrological
analyses that the negative effect of pollutants on mountain precipitation also results in stream
flow losses. Second, quantitative analyses of cloud structure using multi‐spectral satellite
imagery showed that the cloud precipitation‐forming processes are being suppressed in the
same Sierra Nevada regions that are experiencing losses in precipitation and stream flows.
Third, the results of numerical modeling simulations showed good agreement with
precipitation and stream flow analyses based on observations that submicron CCN pollution
can alter Sierra precipitation.
This study’s finding that aerosols have been suppressing precipitation in high‐elevation areas in
California for many years carries significant implications for the state’s water supply.
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