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A Vehicle Use Forecasting Model Based on Revealed and Stated Vehicle Type Choice and Utilisation Data

Abstract

This research describes a new model of household vehicle use behavior by type of vehicle. Forecasts of future vehicle emissions, including potential gains that might be attributed to introductions of alternative-fuel (clean-fuel) vehicles, critically depend upon the ability to forecast vehicle-miles traveled by the fuel type, body style and size, and vintage of vehicle.

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