UCSF

Purpose

We previously demonstrated the clinical significance of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in patients with HER2-negative breast cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). Here, we compared its predictive and prognostic value with cell-free DNA (cfDNA) concentration measured in the same samples from the same patients.

Experimental design

145 patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive/HER2-negative and 138 triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) with ctDNA data from a previous study were included in the analysis. Associations of serial cfDNA concentration with residual cancer burden (RCB) and distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) were examined.

Results

In TNBC, we observed a modest negative correlation between cfDNA concentration 3 weeks after treatment initiation and RCB, but none of the other timepoints showed significant correlation. In contrast, ctDNA was significantly positively correlated with RCB at all timepoints (all R > 0.3 and P < 0.05). In the HR-positive/HER2-negative group, cfDNA concentration did not associate with response to NAC, but survival analysis showed that high cfDNA shedders at pretreatment had a significantly worse DRFS than low shedders (hazard ratio, 2.12; P = 0.037). In TNBC, the difference in survival between high versus low cfDNA shedders at all timepoints was not statistically significant. In contrast, as previously reported, ctDNA at all timepoints was significantly correlated with DRFS in both subtypes.

Conclusions

In TNBC, cfDNA concentrations during therapy were not strongly correlated with response or prognosis. In the HR-positive/HER2-negative group, pretreatment cfDNA concentration was prognostic for DRFS. Overall, the predictive and prognostic value of cfDNA concentration was more limited than that of ctDNA.