Objective

Lowering serum phosphorus in people on hemodialysis may improve their survival. However, prior studies have shown that restricting dietary protein intake, a major source of phosphorus, is associated with higher mortality. We hypothesized that a novel metric that incorporates both these values commensurately can improve survival prediction.

Methods

We used serum phosphorous and normalized protein catabolic rate (nPCR), a surrogate of dietary protein intake, to form a new metric R that was used to examine the associations with mortality in 63,016 people on hemodialysis (HD) of one year after treatment initiation. Survival models were adjusted for case-mix, malnutrition-inflammation cachexia syndrome (MICS), and residual kidney function (RKF).

Results

Individuals treated with hemodialysis were divided into five groups in accordance with R value. Group 1 included sick individuals with high phosphorous and low nPCR. Group 5 included individuals with low phosphorous and high nPCR. After 1-year follow-up, survival difference between the groups reflected R value, where an increase in R was associated with improved survival. The association of R with mortality was strengthened by adjustment in demographic variables and attenuated after adjustment to MICS. Mortality associations in accordance with R were not influenced by residual kidney function (RKF).

Conclusion

The novel protein to phosphorus ratio score R predicts mortality in people on dialysis, probably reflecting both nutrition and inflammation state independent of RKF. The metric enables better phosphorus monitoring, although adequate dietary protein intake is ensured and may improve the prediction of outcomes in the clinical setting.

Introduction

Anticoagulation is commonly used for stroke prevention among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF); however, end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients on hemodialysis are at higher risk of bleeding and stroke, even without anticoagulation. It is unclear if patients should be continued on anticoagulation at the time of transition to ESRD. In this study, we validated risk scores for stroke and bleeding in this population and assessed risk of stroke and bleeding among warfarin users compared to nonusers.

Methods

We utilized a cohort of 28,620 pre-dialysis US veterans transitioning to hemodialysis between October 2007 and March 2015. Incident rates for the risks of stroke and bleeding were ascertained based upon CHA2DS2-VASc or HAS-BLED scores, respectively. A propensity score-based competing risk analysis was used to assess risk of stroke and bleeding.

Findings

The mean age of our cohort was 77 ± 9 years, and the median CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores were 7 (5, 8) and 3 (3, 4), respectively. Increasing CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores were predictive of increasing stroke and bleeding rates, respectively. However, warfarin use did not appear to affect the risk of stroke and bleeding (p-interaction = 0.84 for stroke and 0.24 for bleeding). Warfarin use was associated with a higher risk of stroke (adjusted SHR 1.44, 95% CI: 1.23-1.69) and a higher risk of bleeding (adjusted SHR 1.38, 95% CI: 1.25-1.52) when accounting for the competing risk of death.

Discussion

There was no difference in incidence rates of stroke or bleeding among warfarin users versus nonusers. Warfarin was associated with a higher risk of stroke and bleeding after considering mortality risk.

Objective

To determine the association between angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs) use and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity and outcomes in US veterans.

Patients and methods

We retrospectively examined 27,556 adult US veterans who tested positive for COVID-19 between March to November 2020. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models using propensity score (PS) for weight, adjustment, and matching were used to examine the odds of an event within 60 days following a COVID-19-positive case date and time to death, respectively, according to ACEI and/or ARB prescription within 6 months prior to the COVID-19-positive case date.

Results

The overlap PS weighted logistic regression model showed lower odds of an intensive care unit (ICU) admission (odds ratio [OR] 95% CI 0.77, 0.61-0.98) and death within 60 days (0.87, 0.79-0.97) with an ACEI or ARB prescription. Veterans with an ARB-only prescription also had lower odds of an ICU admission (0.64, 0.44-0.92). The overlap PS weighted model similarly showed a lower risk of time to all-cause mortality in veterans with an ACEI or ARB prescription (HR [95% CI]: 0.87, 0.79-0.97) and an ARB only prescription (0.78, 0.67-0.91). Veterans with an ACEI prescription had higher odds of experiencing a septic event within 60 days after the COVID-19-positive case date (1.22, 1.02-1.46).

Conclusion

In this study of a national cohort of US veterans, we found that the use of an ACEI/ARB in patients with COVID-19 was not associated with increased mortality and other worse outcomes. Future studies should examine underlying pathways and further confirm the relationship of ACEI prescription with sepsis.