- Sun, Sainan;
- Pattyn, Frank;
- Simon, Erika G;
- Albrecht, Torsten;
- Cornford, Stephen;
- Calov, Reinhard;
- Dumas, Christophe;
- Gillet-Chaulet, Fabien;
- Goelzer, Heiko;
- Golledge, Nicholas R;
- Greve, Ralf;
- Hoffman, Matthew J;
- Humbert, Angelika;
- Kazmierczak, Elise;
- Kleiner, Thomas;
- Leguy, Gunter R;
- Lipscomb, William H;
- Martin, Daniel;
- Morlighem, Mathieu;
- Nowicki, Sophie;
- Pollard, David;
- Price, Stephen;
- Quiquet, Aurélien;
- Seroussi, Hélène;
- Schlemm, Tanja;
- Sutter, Johannes;
- van de Wal, Roderik SW;
- Winkelmann, Ricarda;
- Zhang, Tong
Antarctica's ice shelves modulate the grounded ice flow, and weakening of ice shelves due to climate forcing will decrease their 'buttressing' effect, causing a response in the grounded ice. While the processes governing ice-shelf weakening are complex, uncertainties in the response of the grounded ice sheet are also difficult to assess. The Antarctic BUttressing Model Intercomparison Project (ABUMIP) compares ice-sheet model responses to decrease in buttressing by investigating the 'end-member' scenario of total and sustained loss of ice shelves. Although unrealistic, this scenario enables gauging the sensitivity of an ensemble of 15 ice-sheet models to a total loss of buttressing, hence exhibiting the full potential of marine ice-sheet instability. All models predict that this scenario leads to multi-metre (1-12 m) sea-level rise over 500 years from present day. West Antarctic ice sheet collapse alone leads to a 1.91-5.08 m sea-level rise due to the marine ice-sheet instability. Mass loss rates are a strong function of the sliding/friction law, with plastic laws cause a further destabilization of the Aurora and Wilkes Subglacial Basins, East Antarctica. Improvements to marine ice-sheet models have greatly reduced variability between modelled ice-sheet responses to extreme ice-shelf loss, e.g. compared to the SeaRISE assessments.