- Leo, Patrick;
- Janowczyk, Andrew;
- Elliott, Robin;
- Janaki, Nafiseh;
- Bera, Kaustav;
- Shiradkar, Rakesh;
- Farré, Xavier;
- Fu, Pingfu;
- El-Fahmawi, Ayah;
- Shahait, Mohammed;
- Kim, Jessica;
- Lee, David;
- Yamoah, Kosj;
- Rebbeck, Timothy R;
- Khani, Francesca;
- Robinson, Brian D;
- Eklund, Lauri;
- Jambor, Ivan;
- Merisaari, Harri;
- Ettala, Otto;
- Taimen, Pekka;
- Aronen, Hannu J;
- Boström, Peter J;
- Tewari, Ashutosh;
- Magi-Galluzzi, Cristina;
- Klein, Eric;
- Purysko, Andrei;
- NC Shih, Natalie;
- Feldman, Michael;
- Gupta, Sanjay;
- Lal, Priti;
- Madabhushi, Anant
Existing tools for post-radical prostatectomy (RP) prostate cancer biochemical recurrence (BCR) prognosis rely on human pathologist-derived parameters such as tumor grade, with the resulting inter-reviewer variability. Genomic companion diagnostic tests such as Decipher tend to be tissue destructive, expensive, and not routinely available in most centers. We present a tissue non-destructive method for automated BCR prognosis, termed "Histotyping", that employs computational image analysis of morphologic patterns of prostate tissue from a single, routinely acquired hematoxylin and eosin slide. Patients from two institutions (n = 214) were used to train Histotyping for identifying high-risk patients based on six features of glandular morphology extracted from RP specimens. Histotyping was validated for post-RP BCR prognosis on a separate set of n = 675 patients from five institutions and compared against Decipher on n = 167 patients. Histotyping was prognostic of BCR in the validation set (p < 0.001, univariable hazard ratio [HR] = 2.83, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.03-3.93, concordance index [c-index] = 0.68, median years-to-BCR: 1.7). Histotyping was also prognostic in clinically stratified subsets, such as patients with Gleason grade group 3 (HR = 4.09) and negative surgical margins (HR = 3.26). Histotyping was prognostic independent of grade group, margin status, pathological stage, and preoperative prostate-specific antigen (PSA) (multivariable p < 0.001, HR = 2.09, 95% CI: 1.40-3.10, n = 648). The combination of Histotyping, grade group, and preoperative PSA outperformed Decipher (c-index = 0.75 vs. 0.70, n = 167). These results suggest that a prognostic classifier for prostate cancer based on digital images could serve as an alternative or complement to molecular-based companion diagnostic tests.