Background

We investigated whether epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) volume and density are related to early atherosclerosis, plaque inflammation and major adverse cardiac events (MACE, cardiac death and myocardial infarction) in asymptomatic subjects.

Methods

EAT volume and density were quantified from non-contrast cardiac CT in 456 asymptomatic individuals (age 60.3 ± 8.3; 68% with CCS>0) from the prospective EISNER trial. EAT volume and density were examined in relation to coronary calcium score (CCS), inflammatory biomarkers and MACE.

Results

EAT volume was higher and EAT density lower in subjects with coronary calcium compared to subjects without [89 vs 74 cm³, p < 0.001] [-76.9 vs -75.7 HU,p = 0.024]. EAT volume was lowest in individuals with no coronary calcium and was significant higher in subjects with early atherosclerosis (CCS 1-99) [74 vs 87 cm³,p = 0.016] and in subjects with more advanced atherosclerosis (CCS≥100) [89 cm³,p = 0.002]). EAT volume was independently related to serum levels of PAI-1, and MCP-1 and inversely related to adiponectin and HDL-cholesterol (p < 0.05). EAT density was inversely related to PAI-1 and LDL-cholesterol and positively associated to adiponectin, sICAM-1 and HDL-cholesterol (p < 0.05). EAT density was more significantly associated with MACE [(HR 0.8, 95%CI:0.7-0.98), p = 0.029] than EAT volume or CCS.

Conclusion

EAT volume was higher and density lower in subjects with coronary calcium compared to subjects with CCS = 0, with similar EAT volume in CCS<100 and CCS≥100. Lower EAT density and increased EAT volume were associated with coronary calcification, serum levels of plaque inflammatory markers and MACE, suggesting that dysfunctional EAT may be linked to early plaque formation and inflammation.

Background

Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) volume (cm³) and attenuation (Hounsfield units) may predict major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of fully automated deep learning-based EAT volume and attenuation measurements quantified from noncontrast cardiac computed tomography.

Methods

Our study included 2068 asymptomatic subjects (56±9 years, 59% male) from the EISNER trial (Early Identification of Subclinical Atherosclerosis by Noninvasive Imaging Research) with long-term follow-up after coronary artery calcium measurement. EAT volume and mean attenuation were quantified using automated deep learning software from noncontrast cardiac computed tomography. MACE was defined as myocardial infarction, late (>180 days) revascularization, and cardiac death. EAT measures were compared to coronary artery calcium score and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk score for MACE prediction.

Results

At 14±3 years, 223 subjects suffered MACE. Increased EAT volume and decreased EAT attenuation were both independently associated with MACE. Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk score, coronary artery calcium, and EAT volume were associated with increased risk of MACE (hazard ratio [95%CI]: 1.03 [1.01-1.04]; 1.25 [1.19-1.30]; and 1.35 [1.07-1.68], P<0.01 for all) and EAT attenuation was inversely associated with MACE (hazard ratio, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.72-0.96]; P=0.01), with corresponding Harrell C statistic of 0.76. MACE risk progressively increased with EAT volume ≥113 cm³ and coronary artery calcium ≥100 AU and was highest in subjects with both (P<0.02 for all). In 1317 subjects, EAT volume was correlated with inflammatory biomarkers C-reactive protein, myeloperoxidase, and adiponectin reduction; EAT attenuation was inversely related to these biomarkers.

Conclusions

Fully automated EAT volume and attenuation quantification by deep learning from noncontrast cardiac computed tomography can provide prognostic value for the asymptomatic patient, without additional imaging or physician interaction.

Background and aims

We sought to assess the performance of a comprehensive machine learning (ML) risk score integrating circulating biomarkers and computed tomography (CT) measures for the long-term prediction of hard cardiac events in asymptomatic subjects.

Methods

We studied 1069 subjects (age 58.2 ± 8.2 years, 54.0% males) from the prospective EISNER trial who underwent coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring CT, serum biomarker assessment, and long-term follow-up. Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) was quantified from CT using fully automated deep learning software. Forty-eight serum biomarkers, both established and novel, were assayed. An ML algorithm (XGBoost) was trained using clinical risk factors, CT measures (CAC score, number of coronary lesions, aortic valve calcium score, EAT volume and attenuation), and circulating biomarkers, and validated using repeated 10-fold cross validation.

Results

At 14.5 ± 2.0 years, there were 50 hard cardiac events (myocardial infarction or cardiac death). The ML risk score (area under the receiver operator characteristic curve [AUC] 0.81) outperformed the CAC score (0.75) and ASCVD risk score (0.74; both p = 0.02) for the prediction of hard cardiac events. Serum biomarkers provided incremental prognostic value beyond clinical data and CT measures in the ML model (net reclassification index 0.53 [95% CI: 0.23-0.81], p < 0.0001). Among novel biomarkers, MMP-9, pentraxin 3, PIGR, and GDF-15 had highest variable importance for ML and reflect the pathways of inflammation, extracellular matrix remodeling, and fibrosis.

Conclusions

In this prospective study, ML integration of novel circulating biomarkers and noninvasive imaging measures provided superior long-term risk prediction for cardiac events compared to current risk assessment tools.

Background

We sought to evaluate the association of metabolic syndrome (MetS) and computed tomography (CT)-derived cardiometabolic biomarkers (non-alcoholic fatty liver disease [NAFLD] and epicardial adipose tissue [EAT] measures) with long-term risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in asymptomatic individuals.

Methods

This was a post-hoc analysis of the prospective EISNER (Early-Identification of Subclinical Atherosclerosis by Noninvasive Imaging Research) study of participants who underwent baseline coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring CT and 14-year follow-up for MACE (myocardial infarction, late revascularization, or cardiac death). EAT volume (cm³) and attenuation (Hounsfield units [HU]) were quantified from CT using fully automated deep learning software (< 30 s per case). NAFLD was defined as liver-to-spleen attenuation ratio < 1.0 and/or average liver attenuation < 40 HU.

Results

In the final population of 2068 participants (59% males, 56 ± 9 years), those with MetS (n = 280;13.5%) had a greater prevalence of NAFLD (26.0% vs. 9.9%), higher EAT volume (114.1 cm³ vs. 73.7 cm³), and lower EAT attenuation (-76.9 HU vs. -73.4 HU; all p < 0.001) compared to those without MetS. At 14 ± 3 years, MACE occurred in 223 (10.8%) participants. In multivariable Cox regression, MetS was associated with increased risk of MACE (HR 1.58 [95% CI 1.10-2.27], p = 0.01) independently of CAC score; however, not after adjustment for EAT measures (p = 0.27). In a separate Cox analysis, NAFLD predicted MACE (HR 1.78 [95% CI 1.21-2.61], p = 0.003) independently of MetS, CAC score, and EAT measures. Addition of EAT volume to current risk assessment tools resulted in significant net reclassification improvement for MACE (22% over ASCVD risk score; 17% over ASCVD risk score plus CAC score).

Conclusions

MetS, NAFLD, and artificial intelligence-based EAT measures predict long-term MACE risk in asymptomatic individuals. Imaging biomarkers of cardiometabolic disease have the potential for integration into routine reporting of CAC scoring CT to enhance cardiovascular risk stratification. Trial registration NCT00927693.

Combined analysis of SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) performed with a solid-state camera on patients in 2 positions (semiupright, supine) is routinely used to mitigate attenuation artifacts. We evaluated the prediction of obstructive disease from combined analysis of semiupright and supine stress MPI by deep learning (DL) as compared with standard combined total perfusion deficit (TPD). Methods: 1,160 patients without known coronary artery disease (64% male) were studied. Patients underwent stress ^99mTc-sestamibi MPI with new-generation solid-state SPECT scanners in 4 different centers. All patients had on-site clinical reads and invasive coronary angiography correlations within 6 mo of MPI. Obstructive disease was defined as at least 70% narrowing of the 3 major coronary arteries and at least 50% for the left main coronary artery. Images were quantified at Cedars-Sinai. The left ventricular myocardium was segmented using standard clinical nuclear cardiology software. The contour placement was verified by an experienced technologist. Combined stress TPD was computed using sex- and camera-specific normal limits. DL was trained using polar distributions of normalized radiotracer counts, hypoperfusion defects, and hypoperfusion severities and was evaluated for prediction of obstructive disease in a novel leave-one-center-out cross-validation procedure equivalent to external validation. During the validation procedure, 4 DL models were trained using data from 3 centers and then evaluated on the 1 center left aside. Predictions for each center were merged to have an overall estimation of the multicenter performance. Results: 718 (62%) patients and 1,272 of 3,480 (37%) arteries had obstructive disease. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for prediction of disease on a per-patient and per-vessel basis by DL was higher than for combined TPD (per-patient, 0.81 vs. 0.78; per-vessel, 0.77 vs. 0.73; P < 0.001). With the DL cutoff set to exhibit the same specificity as the standard cutoff for combined TPD, per-patient sensitivity improved from 61.8% (TPD) to 65.6% (DL) (P < 0.05), and per-vessel sensitivity improved from 54.6% (TPD) to 59.1% (DL) (P < 0.01). With the threshold matched to the specificity of a normal clinical read (56.3%), DL had a sensitivity of 84.8%, versus 82.6% for an on-site clinical read (P = 0.3). Conclusion: DL improves automatic interpretation of MPI as compared with current quantitative methods.

OBJECTIVES:The study evaluated the automatic prediction of obstructive disease from myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) by deep learning as compared with total perfusion deficit (TPD). BACKGROUND:Deep convolutional neural networks trained with a large multicenter population may provide improved prediction of per-patient and per-vessel coronary artery disease from single-photon emission computed tomography MPI. METHODS:A total of 1,638 patients (67% men) without known coronary artery disease, undergoing stress 99mTc-sestamibi or tetrofosmin MPI with new generation solid-state scanners in 9 different sites, with invasive coronary angiography performed within 6 months of MPI, were studied. Obstructive disease was defined as ≥70% narrowing of coronary arteries (≥50% for left main artery). Left ventricular myocardium was segmented using clinical nuclear cardiology software and verified by an expert reader. Stress TPD was computed using sex- and camera-specific normal limits. Deep learning was trained using raw and quantitative polar maps and evaluated for prediction of obstructive stenosis in a stratified 10-fold cross-validation procedure. RESULTS:A total of 1,018 (62%) patients and 1,797 of 4,914 (37%) arteries had obstructive disease. Area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for disease prediction by deep learning was higher than for TPD (per patient: 0.80 vs. 0.78; per vessel: 0.76 vs. 0.73: p < 0.01). With deep learning threshold set to the same specificity as TPD, per-patient sensitivity improved from 79.8% (TPD) to 82.3% (deep learning) (p < 0.05), and per-vessel sensitivity improved from 64.4% (TPD) to 69.8% (deep learning) (p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS:Deep learning has the potential to improve automatic interpretation of MPI as compared with current clinical methods.