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What are the odds? Predicting the likelihood of a negative episode in a sample of toddlers with autism spectrum disorder

Abstract

Lay abstract

Children with autism spectrum disorder sometimes have challenges with regulating their negative emotions. These difficulties can impact children's social outcomes and how well they respond to intervention. We know that caregivers of children with autism spectrum disorder can help their children regulate negative emotions in a process known as co-regulation, but not much is known about how child and caregiver strategy use impacts children's negativity in real time. In this study, 71 caregivers of toddlers with autism spectrum disorder were asked to encourage their child to unlock a locked toy box, a task which is designed to elicit frustration. Video observations of the participants completing the task were used to examine whether specific child and caregiver behaviors increased or decreased the likelihood that the child will become upset. No child strategies were predictive of a decreased likelihood of a child becoming upset, but when children used high-energy behaviors that did not serve a purpose, such as running back and forth, they were more likely to then show signs of being upset a few seconds later. The way that caregivers responded to their child was a potent caregiver predictor of the likelihood of children's negativity, with caregivers' unresponsiveness and proactiveness both emerging as salient predictor of increased likelihood of the child being upset a few moments later. These findings give insight into how children with autism spectrum disorder and their caregiver navigate challenging and frustrating tasks, and have the potential to influence clinical practice by giving an indication off which parent and child behaviors are most effective in reducing children's negativity while interacting with parents and caregivers.

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