- Liang, Jeff;
- Li, Po-Yi;
- Norman, Joshua;
- Lauzon, Marie;
- Yeo, Yee;
- Trivedi, Hirsh;
- Ayoub, Walid;
- Kuo, Alexander;
- Friedman, Marc;
- Sankar, Kamya;
- Gong, Jun;
- Osipov, Arsen;
- Hendifar, Andrew;
- Todo, Tsuyoshi;
- Kim, Irene;
- Voidonikolas, Georgios;
- Brennan, Todd;
- Wisel, Steven;
- Steggarda, Justin;
- Kosari, Kambiz;
- Saouaf, Rola;
- Nissen, Nicholas;
- Yao, Francis;
- Mehta, Neil;
- Yang, Ju
BACKGROUND: Serum AFP-L3%, AFP, and DCP are useful biomarkers for HCC detection, but their utility in assessing treatment response remains unknown. We aim to evaluate the accuracy of a biomarker model in the detection of posttreatment viable tumors. METHODS: For model derivation, recipients with HCC undergoing liver transplant from 2018 to 2022 who had biomarkers collected within 3 months before transplant were included. We developed a generalized linear model for detecting posttreatment viable tumors with the 3 biomarkers as covariates, which we termed the LAD Score. An independent cohort of 117 patients with HCC was used for external validation. RESULTS: Among 205 recipients of transplant, 70.2% had evidence of viable tumor on explant. The median LAD score was higher among patients with viable versus nonviable tumors (1.06 vs. 0.465, p < 0.001). The LAD score had a sensitivity of 55.6% and a specificity of 85.1% at the cutoff of 0.927, which was more accurate than imaging for detecting posttreatment viable tumors (AUROC 0.736 vs. 0.643, respectively; p = 0.045). The superior performance of the LAD score over imaging is primarily driven by its greater accuracy in detecting tumors <2 cm in diameter (AUROC of the LAD score 0.721 vs. imaging 0.595, p = 0.02). In the validation data set, the LAD score had an AUROC of 0.832 (95% CI: 0.753, 0.911) with a sensitivity of 72.5% and a specificity of 89.4% at the cutoff of 0.927. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest the utility of LAD score in treatment response assessment after locoregional therapy for HCC, particularly in detecting small tumors. A larger prospective study is in progress to validate its accuracy and evaluate its performance in recurrence monitoring.